Simultaneous invention is inevitable; Technology is inevitable - so why isn't it more obvious what to build?
Kevin Kelly stopped by the Google office a few days ago to talk about the some of the ideas in his book " What Technology Wants " There are a lot of great ideas in there; one in particular gave me some food for thought on the train ride back home. The idea that (paraphrasing) "Simultaneous invention is inevitable, and proof that technological progress is inevitable." Kelly cites a number of examples through history where a number of critical inventions/discoveries were arrived at independently - from the electric bulb (picture above) to the theory of evolution, to the atomic bomb. This happened even though in most of these cases the inventors were working in isolation and didn't know about each others' work. He postulates A lot of things in technology and progress are just inevitable But the details (i.e. how we get there) aren't and that's what our work tends to determine For example: "The Internet was inevitable, but its decision decisions...